CVE-2026-86133

HIGHNVD 7.57.5
EchelonGraph scoreMEDIUM confidence

“—” beside the score: it is equal to NVD's CVSS score.

Score 7.5 from GitHub Security Advisory (severity: HIGH) published 2026-09-30. NVD baseline CVSS 7.5; sources differ by 0.0.

Triggered by: GitHub Security Advisory CVSS
Sources: EPSS, GitHub Security Advisory, NVD CVSS v3
Trending — 3 sources updated this week

Also known asEUVD-2026-89495 (ENISA EUVD) · GHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 (GitHub Security Advisories)Source: ENISA EUVD

7.5EG
EchelonGraph verdictPlan a fixRemediate within your standard update timelines (the SSVC decision on this page).
  • High severity, but no confirmed exploitation yet
CISA-KEV: Not listedEPSS PROB: 0.3%CVSS: 7.5Exploit: None knownExposed services: Not assessed

Fireware OS 2026.3.2, Fireware OS 2026.2.3, Fireware OS 12.12.3, Fireware OS 12.5.21 (from the CVE record's solution, WatchGuard Technologies, Inc.) — apply it.

An integer underflow vulnerability in the WatchGuard Fireware OS IKE daemon (iked) allows a remote attacker who has completed the initial IKEv2 handshake to crash the iked process by sending a specially crafted encrypted IKEv2 message, resulting in a denial of service.

CVSS v3
7.5
EG Score
7.5HIGHmedium confidence
EG Risk
34
EG Risk 34/100

EG Risk is EchelonGraph's 0–100 priority score. It fuses impact severity (EG Severity, the CVSS base score, never the KEV-floored or EPSS-lifted EG Score) with real-world exploitation and automatability, under weights EchelonGraph set by hand, so you can rank equal-severity CVEs and fix the most dangerous first. Higher = act sooner.

How it’s computed (value × EchelonGraph’s weight)
Severity75% × 45%
Impact severity (EG Severity): CVSS 7.5 of 10. Never the KEV-floored or EPSS-lifted EG Score.
Exploitation0.4% × 40%
FIRST EPSS: the 30-day exploitation probability when EchelonGraph scored this CVE.
Automatability0% × 15%
CISA's SSVC Automatable value: no (Vulnrichment).
SSVC (CISA's decision table, applied by EchelonGraph): Track at every mission impact level.
Exploitation none (CISA Vulnrichment) · Automatable no (CISA Vulnrichment) · Technical impact partial (CISA Vulnrichment). All three are CISA's SSVC values (Vulnrichment). EchelonGraph applied CISA's decision table to them; CISA publishes SSVC inputs and the table, not a decision for each CVE.
Action: Fireware OS 2026.3.2, Fireware OS 2026.2.3, Fireware OS 12.12.3, Fireware OS 12.5.21 (from the CVE record's solution, WatchGuard Technologies, Inc.). Apply it within your standard update timelines.
EPSS PROB
0.3%
EPSS %ILE
28th
KEV
Not listed

What the EG score is made of (scorer v4.0: the three questions the 0–10 score mixes, published apart · methodology)

The EG score (7.5): severity, escalated by confirmed exploitation. This CVE's 7.5 is its impact severity (EG Severity), not escalated.

EG Severity
7.5 HIGHCVSS-B, impact only: no KEV listing, EPSS or EG-KEV tier raises it.GitHub Security Advisory CVSS
EG Likelihood
0.3% within 30 daysSource: FIRST EPSS (model v2026.06.15, score date 2026-10-29). FIRST's exploitation probability, not an EchelonGraph model.
Confirmed exploitation
None on record (CISA KEV, EG-KEV Tier 1)Reported apart from the likelihood: an observed fact, not a probability.
EG Priority
SSVC Track at medium mission impactTrack at every mission impact level.CISA BOD 26-04: 60 days if the affected system is publicly exposed; Fix on system upgrade if it is not.Each input and its source, and whom BOD 26-04 binds: the SSVC and BOD 26-04 blocks below.

SSVC (CISA's decision table, applied by EchelonGraph)Track at every mission impact level.

Fireware OS 2026.3.2, Fireware OS 2026.2.3, Fireware OS 12.12.3, Fireware OS 12.5.21 (from the CVE record's solution, WatchGuard Technologies, Inc.). Apply it within your standard update timelines.

Exploitation none (CISA Vulnrichment) · Automatable no (CISA Vulnrichment) · Technical impact partial (CISA Vulnrichment). All three are CISA's SSVC values (Vulnrichment). EchelonGraph applied CISA's decision table to them; CISA publishes SSVC inputs and the table, not a decision for each CVE. Mission impact is CISA's Mission & Well-being decision point, and only you can judge it. CISA's table makes it high when Mission Prevalence is Essential — the vulnerable component "directly provides capabilities that constitute at least one MEF for at least one entity" (MEF: mission essential function) — or when Public Well-Being Impact is Irreversible: "multiple fatalities are likely", the cyber-physical system "is likely lost or destroyed", "extreme or serious externalities" are imposed on other parties, or social systems such as elections or the financial grid "are destabilized and potentially collapse". CISA's decision table

BOD 26-04 (CISA's remediation timeline, Table 1)60 days if the affected system is publicly exposed; Fix on system upgrade if it is not.

The score's inputs: In CISA KEV no (CISA's KEV catalog) · Automatable no (CISA Vulnrichment) · Technical impact partial (CISA Vulnrichment). Whether your system is publicly exposed is yours to answer. BOD 26-04 binds US Federal Civilian Executive Branch agencies; for anyone else it is CISA's published timeline, a reference rather than an obligation. The directive · how EchelonGraph applies it

Published

September 29, 2026

Last Modified

October 6, 2026

Advisory Details (1)

Auto-updated Sep 29, 2026
Fix named in the CVE record's solution (WatchGuard Technologies, Inc.).
Web page

CVE-2026-86133 — Fireware OS Pre-Authentication Integer Underflow in iked Allows Remote Denial of Service

https://psirt.watchguard.com/CVE-2026-86133

Vendor Advisories for CVE-2026-86133(1)

These vendors published their own advisory mentioning this CVE — often with vendor-specific remediation steps + affected product lists not in NVD.

Weakness Classification(2)

MITRE Common Weakness Enumeration — the root-cause categories this CVE belongs to.

Data Freshness Timeline

(refreshed 11× in last 7d / 73× in last 30d)

Each row is a time one of our pipelines fetched, updated or re-scored this CVE. For example, "NVD update" means NVD published or revised its analysis for this CVE; "MITRE cvelistV5" means we ingested or refreshed it from the CNA feed. An arrow marks a change the record states ("CVSS v3 → 9.1"); EPSS and GHSA rows show the values recorded at that time, not what changed (EPSS values are rounded; hover one for the exact figures). Most recent first.

  1. 2026-11-02 16:46 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 28th percentile
  2. 2026-11-01 16:35 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 28th percentile
  3. 2026-10-31 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 28th percentile
  4. 2026-10-30 16:35 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 28th percentile
  5. 2026-10-30 00:34 UTCEG score recompute
  6. 2026-10-30 00:34 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  7. 2026-10-29 16:34 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 28th percentile
  8. 2026-10-28 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 28th percentile
  9. 2026-10-27 21:11 UTCEG score recompute
  10. 2026-10-27 21:11 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  11. 2026-10-27 16:32 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 28th percentile
  12. 2026-10-26 16:32 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 27th percentile
  13. 2026-10-25 16:34 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 27th percentile
  14. 2026-10-25 13:55 UTCEG score recompute
  15. 2026-10-24 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 27th percentile
  16. 2026-10-23 16:32 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  17. 2026-10-22 16:35 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  18. 2026-10-22 11:32 UTCEG score recompute
  19. 2026-10-22 11:32 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  20. 2026-10-21 16:34 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  21. 2026-10-20 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  22. 2026-10-19 17:54 UTCEG score recompute
  23. 2026-10-19 17:53 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  24. 2026-10-19 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  25. 2026-10-18 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
Show 69 more
  1. 2026-10-18 03:05 UTCEG score recompute
  2. 2026-10-17 16:35 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  3. 2026-10-16 16:44 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  4. 2026-10-15 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  5. 2026-10-14 16:34 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  6. 2026-10-13 16:35 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  7. 2026-10-13 05:22 UTCEG score recompute
  8. 2026-10-13 05:22 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  9. 2026-10-12 16:35 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  10. 2026-10-12 14:52 UTCEG score recompute
  11. 2026-10-11 19:17 UTCEG score recompute
  12. 2026-10-11 19:04 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  13. 2026-10-11 16:34 UTCEG score recompute
  14. 2026-10-11 13:51 UTCEG score recompute
  15. 2026-10-11 13:49 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  16. 2026-10-11 07:14 UTCEG score recompute
  17. 2026-10-11 07:14 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  18. 2026-10-10 20:00 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  19. 2026-10-10 19:24 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  20. 2026-10-10 07:35 UTCEG score recompute
  21. 2026-10-10 07:35 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  22. 2026-10-09 20:07 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  23. 2026-10-09 19:45 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  24. 2026-10-09 07:55 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  25. 2026-10-08 20:05 UTCEG score recompute
  26. 2026-10-08 20:05 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  27. 2026-10-08 17:13 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  28. 2026-10-08 08:07 UTCEG score recompute
  29. 2026-10-08 08:07 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  30. 2026-10-07 23:48 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 26th percentile
  31. 2026-10-07 20:17 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  32. 2026-10-07 08:27 UTCEG score recompute
  33. 2026-10-07 08:27 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH · GitHub CVSS 7.5
  34. 2026-10-06 20:35 UTCEG score recompute▼ 0.70
  35. 2026-10-06 20:35 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  36. 2026-10-06 20:31 UTCNVD updateCVSS v3 → 7.5
  37. 2026-10-06 15:38 UTCEG score recompute
  38. 2026-10-06 15:38 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  39. 2026-10-06 15:18 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 25th percentile
  40. 2026-10-06 03:43 UTCEG score recompute
  41. 2026-10-06 03:43 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  42. 2026-10-05 17:44 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 25th percentile
  43. 2026-10-05 15:53 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  44. 2026-10-05 03:45 UTCEG score recompute
  45. 2026-10-05 03:45 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  46. 2026-10-04 23:22 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 25th percentile
  47. 2026-10-04 15:54 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  48. 2026-10-04 04:03 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  49. 2026-10-03 16:13 UTCEG score recompute
  50. 2026-10-03 16:13 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  51. 2026-10-03 04:24 UTCEG score recompute
  52. 2026-10-03 04:24 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  53. 2026-10-02 17:57 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 25th percentile
  54. 2026-10-02 16:34 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  55. 2026-10-02 04:42 UTCEG score recompute
  56. 2026-10-02 04:42 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  57. 2026-10-01 19:50 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 25th percentile
  58. 2026-10-01 16:50 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  59. 2026-10-01 04:38 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  60. 2026-09-30 16:45 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  61. 2026-09-30 16:25 UTCEG score recompute
  62. 2026-09-30 16:25 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  63. 2026-09-30 15:44 UTCEG score recompute
  64. 2026-09-30 15:44 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  65. 2026-09-30 15:04 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 0.3% · 25th percentile
  66. 2026-09-30 12:22 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-c7wr-f27v-pxx3 · GitHub severity HIGH
  67. 2026-09-30 00:32 UTCEG score recompute
  68. 2026-09-29 23:25 UTCEG score recomputeFirst assessed: 8.2 HIGH
  69. 2026-09-29 23:23 UTCMITRE cvelistV5first tracked

Frequently asked(5)

What is CVE-2026-86133?
CVE-2026-86133 is a high-severity vulnerability; its CVE record was published on September 29, 2026. An integer underflow vulnerability in the WatchGuard Fireware OS IKE daemon (iked) allows a remote attacker who has completed the initial IKEv2 handshake to crash the iked process by sending a specially crafted encrypted IKEv2 message, resulting in a denial of service.
When was the CVE record for CVE-2026-86133 published?
The CVE record for CVE-2026-86133 was published on September 29, 2026. That is the record's publication date; the vulnerability itself may have been made public earlier. EchelonGraph's copy of the record carries a last-modified date of October 6, 2026; the record at its source may have been updated since.
Is CVE-2026-86133 actively exploited?
CVE-2026-86133 is not currently on CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog. FIRST EPSS estimates a 0.3% probability of exploitation in the next 30 days (28th percentile of EPSS-scored CVEs).
What is the CVSS score of CVE-2026-86133?
CVE-2026-86133 has a CVSS v3 base score of 7.5 (NVD).
How do I remediate CVE-2026-86133?
The CVE record's solution for CVE-2026-86133, written by its CNA WatchGuard Technologies, Inc., names the fix: "Fireware OS 2026.3.2, Fireware OS 2026.2.3, Fireware OS 12.12.3, Fireware OS 12.5.21". The vendor advisories EchelonGraph has for CVE-2026-86133 are linked in the Vendor Advisories panel on this page.

Dependency Blast Radius

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